SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 PM CDT Tue Oct 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A deep mid/upper-level trough will remain in place across the Pacific Coast and adjacent eastern Pacific on Thursday. Hurricane Priscilla is forecast by NHC to move north-northwestward off of the Baja California coast, as it begins to be influenced by the deep western trough. Moisture associated with Priscilla will advance northward across parts of the Southwest, Great Basin, and eventually the interior Northwest, and will aid in the development of isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms across the region. Across the Southeast, a cold front will continue moving southward toward the Gulf Coast and Florida Peninsula. Generally disorganized storms will be possible near the front, within a modestly unstable and weakly sheared environment. In parts of the Midwest and Upper Great Lakes, weak moistening is expected later in the day into Thursday night, in response to a vigorous mid/upper-level shortwave trough moving southeastward out of northwest Ontario. Buoyancy may become sufficient to support sporadic elevated convection within a low-level warm-advection regime Thursday night. ..Dean.. 10/07/2025
