MD 1274 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1274
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0501 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Areas affected…Parts of the central/southern High Plains
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 152201Z – 160000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent
SUMMARY…Storms capable of isolated severe gusts and hail will be
possible into the early evening.
DISCUSSION…High-based thunderstorms have recently developed across
southwest KS, with increasing cumulus noted farther south into the
TX/OK Panhandles and TX South Plains vicinity. With a
mid/upper-level shortwave trough currently over central KS moving
away from the region with time, storm coverage may remain somewhat
isolated into the early evening. However, MLCAPE of greater than
1500 J/kg and modestly favorable deep-layer shear will support a few
marginally organized storms. Isolated severe gusts will be possible
within the relatively warm and well-mixed environment across the
region, with the strongest storms also potentially capable of
producing some hail.
..Dean/Smith.. 06/15/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…OUN…DDC…GLD…LUB…AMA…ABQ…
LAT…LON 35060077 34440135 34480295 34650345 35110352 35400310
37680113 39290028 39239974 36539956 35060077
