Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0127 PM CST Thu Dec 25 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected across the U.S. on Saturday or
Saturday night.
...Synopsis...
Mid-level ridging will continue to deamplify Saturday as a broad
Pacific trough ejects over the central CONUS. A positive-tilt lead
shortwave will move over the southern/central Plains and into the
Midwest Saturday afternoon into early Sunday, while several other
perturbations coalesce over the Rockies. A lee low and increasing
low-level warm advection/moisture transport should allow for weak
elevated destabilization overnight Saturday into early Sunday from
the Plains States to the lower OH Valley. Isolated thunderstorms may
develop along a stalled frontal zone over KS/OK, spreading east
northeastward overnight. Additional storms may form along the lower
to middle Texas coast. With only weak buoyancy for elevated
thunderstorms and modest deep-layer shear overlap, severe potential
appears negligible.
..Lyons.. 12/25/2025