Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... A return of deep convection remains likely on D4-5/Friday-Saturday across the Gulf Coast States from LA to north FL, and into the Deep South. A low-amplitude shortwave impulse should emanate out of the Southwest and may briefly amplify on D4/Friday over TX, as it becomes absorbed within the broader cyclonic flow regime across eastern North America. Latest guidance has decidedly trended towards dampening this impulse and attendant surface cyclone reflection as they progress across the Gulf Coast States/northern Gulf Friday night into Saturday. This combined with predominately westerly low-level wind profiles may support only a marginal severe threat. After this minor wave, severe potential appears negligible in the D6-8 time frame.
