SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CST Sun Feb 01 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Cool and stable conditions will persist across much of the country for today and will limit thunderstorm potential. Modest moisture is expected late tonight into eastern TX as a surface high gradually shifts east and supports onshore trajectories out of the northwestern Gulf. A cold front pushing south across the Plains overnight will begin to impinge on this returning moisture across the Texarkana region between 09-12 UTC Tuesday morning. While shallow convective showers appear probable, consensus among forecast guidance is that warm mid-level temperatures will limit thunderstorm potential until more substantial cooling aloft occurs (which will most likely occur after 12 UTC Tuesday). ..Moore/Wendt.. 02/02/2026
