SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...East TX into the lower MS Valley... A series of shortwave troughs will move through/into the base of a larger-scale trough covering the eastern half of the CONUS through the period. As this occurs, a related cold front will move southeastward across east TX into the lower MS Valley during the afternoon and evening/overnight hours. Despite poor deep-layer lapse rates, sufficient boundary-layer moisture return (middle 50s to near 60 F dewpoints) will yield weak surface-based buoyancy ahead of the front. This will support isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms from east TX into LA, though the weak buoyancy and limited large-scale ascent over the warm sector should limit the severe risk. ..Weinman.. 02/02/2026
