Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026 Valid 061200Z - 111200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the backside of a broad large-scale trough over the East, dry, offshore flow will persist across much of the CONUS through at least Days 5-6/Saturday-Sunday. As a result, thunderstorm potential will be low during this time frame. Thereafter, medium-range guidance depicts a low-latitude midlevel trough/low moving eastward across the Southwest/northern Mexico and eventually into the southern Plains by Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday. However, current indications are that surface high pressure encompassing the eastern half of the CONUS will limit boundary-layer moisture return and overall severe potential.
