SPC Jan 11, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Jan 11, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid/upper shortwave trough and attendant strong jet will move
southeastward from the Canadian Prairies towards the northern Plains
and Upper Midwest through the period. This system will be
accompanied by cooling aloft and steepening midlevel lapse rates,
but available moisture appears insufficient for appreciable
buoyancy, resulting in limited thunderstorm potential. 
An upper low is forecast to move across northern Mexico and approach
southwest TX. Limited moisture is expected to result in negligible
to only very weak elevated buoyancy, and thunderstorm potential
appears low at this time.
Some low-level moistening and weak destabilization will be possible
across far south FL and the Keys, but poor lapse rates and weak
forcing are expected to hamper development of deep convection.
..Dean.. 01/11/2026

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