SPC Jan 17, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Jan 17, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0105 PM CST Sat Jan 17 2026
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.
...Synopsis...
Thunderstorm potential appears negligible across the country for
Monday. An extensive cold/dry continental air mass and building
surface high pressure over the central CONUS will promote dry
conditions for most regions east of the Rockies. Broad-scale upper
ridging will persist along the West Coast, maintaining low chances
for precipitation. A lightning flash or two appears plausible on the
eastern shores of the lower Great Lakes where cold 850-700 mb
temperatures may support mixed-phase hydrometeors within deep
lake-effect snow bands. However, this potential seems too spatially
limited and conditional to warrant broader 10% thunder probabilities
at this time.
..Moore.. 01/17/2026

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