MD 0163 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 29… FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0163
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025
Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29...
Valid 122327Z - 130130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29
continues.
SUMMARY...Local risk for hail and/or damaging wind gusts continues
across portions of eastern Texas in and near WW #29.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken band of generally
short-lived/disorganized updrafts near/ahead of a central Texas
dryline. Daytime heating/warm temperatures have allowed what
low-level moisture previously existed to become well-mixed through a
fairly deep afternoon boundary layer. Therefore, despite steep
mid-level lapse rates, storms have thus far struggled to organize --
likely in part due to the relatively dry troposphere.
With that said, storms are approaching an axis of greater
mixed-layer CAPE (per RAP-based objective analysis). As such, and
given the favorable background kinematic environment, risk for hail
and locally damaging wind gusts continues within WW #29.
..Goss.. 03/12/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30279776 31039710 31659609 32329583 32779499 32769409
31619420 30639450 30099651 30279776
