MD 0220 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 50… FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA TO THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0220
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025
Areas affected...East central Georgia to the eastern Florida
Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...
Valid 160843Z - 161015Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
tornadoes will persist through the morning.
DISCUSSION...A forced, pre-frontal convective band is moving from
central toward east central GA, with the band largely oriented
parallel to the deep-layer flow/shear vectors. The QLCS in central
GA is moving along the edge of the near-surface destabilization, and
close to the 70 kt low-level jet core. Despite the weak
near-surface buoyancy, occasional damaging gusts and a tornado or
two could occur with embedded circulations, especially more
north-south oriented segments. Stronger buoyancy is located farther
to the southwest, where 68-70 F dewpoints have spread inland to
extreme southwest GA and the eastern FL Panhandle. The more
cellular storm mode in this area suggests some potential for
occasional supercell structures, though low-level shear will slowly
weaken through the morning as the low-level jet develops
northeastward toward SC.
..Thompson.. 03/16/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 32928311 33548277 33778217 33568193 32888218 32198252
31598306 31018363 30378419 29948467 29758515 30348515
31708435 32928311
