MD 2314 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 723… FOR PARTS OF GA TO THE FL PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 2314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024
Areas affected...parts of GA to the FL Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 723...
Valid 290906Z - 291030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues.
SUMMARY...Potential for brief tornadoes and sporadic damaging winds
from strong gusts should persist through sunrise as a QLCS
progresses across Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.
DISCUSSION...Overall severe potential has subdued slightly in the
early morning hours as the faster-moving/north-south oriented
portion of the QLCS spread into GA from AL. Despite the presence of
a 60-kt rear inflow jet per the MXX and EOX VWP data, measured
surface gusts have largely ranged from 40-55 mph. The forward motion
of this line at around 45 kts appears to be outpacing MLCAPE in
excess of 500 J/kg. Still, low to mid 60s surface dew points have
become common across central GA and will support scant to meager
buoyancy downstream. This should be sufficient for a sporadic wind
damage and brief tornado threat given the strong low-level
winds/SRH.
The trailing portion of the QLCS in the western FL Panhandle has
been steadily moving east at around 25 kts, lagging well behind the
west-central GA portion. Rich low-level moisture combined with
sufficient shear will support potential for tornadogenesis and
occasional strong gusts. These threats may tend to be focused near
the coast where inflection in the large-scale convective outflow is
maintained.
..Grams.. 12/29/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 30208662 30838623 31228559 32158479 32988467 33738480
34028395 34028316 33898273 33558256 33168249 32638267
32148325 31488411 29808538 30208662
