MD 0542 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF WESTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 0542
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0115 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Areas affected…much of western Kansas into southeast Colorado
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible
Valid 271815Z – 272045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…40 percent
SUMMARY…A few severe storms may develop this afternoon near the
front from southeast Colorado into parts of western Kansas, with
large hail the primary threat.
DISCUSSION…Surface analysis shows low pressure over southwest KS,
with a dryline near the OK/TX Panhandle border. A prominent surface
front stretches from southeast CO across west-central KS, with a few
storms already near the central to northeast KS portion of the
front.
Substantial storms are ongoing from northwest OK into south-central
KS near ICT, and this activity has produced outflow which is
affecting destabilization over central KS currently. However,
further heating will likely lead to sufficient instability to
support a few severe storms capable of hail. Northeast surface winds
north of the front will further aid deep-layer shear, and
potentially support left-moving storms with hail potential.
..Jewell/Hart.. 04/27/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…ICT…GID…DDC…GLD…PUB…
LAT…LON 38689834 38409900 38160040 37670144 37320192 37130238
37300316 37980310 38500253 39150090 39649953 39639860
39309810 38689834
