MD 0090 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5…6… FOR SOUTHEAST MS AND SOUTHWEST AL
Mesoscale Discussion 0090
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0511 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025
Areas affected...southeast MS and southwest AL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6...
Valid 122311Z - 130045Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6 continues.
SUMMARY...Primary tornado threat will persist near the warm front,
especially with discrete/semi-discrete supercells that cross/remain
anchored along it. A strong tornado is possible.
DISCUSSION...Several supercells have occurred over the past hour,
mainly from parts of south-central MS into southwest AL. The
environment will remain quite conductive to low-level rotation,
especially near/along the wavy west/east-oriented warm front that
extends roughly from Simpson County, MS to Montgomery County, AL.
Discrete and semi-discrete supercells that can continue to
regenerate across eastern LA into southeast MS will be the most
likely candidates for eventually sustaining a longer-lived tornado
as they impinge on the vorticity-enriched warm front. Overall setup,
with peak STP having increased to a 3 as of 22Z, should favor
potential for a strong tornado.
The northern extent of the tornado threat will be limited by cooler
temperatures. Per early afternoon observed and RAP forecast
soundings, as storms move north of the 65-66 F isodrosotherm, the
tornado threat will diminish. Surface winds deeper into the warm
sector across LA are slightly veered and modulating to some extent
low-level hodograph curvature.
..Grams.. 02/12/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31109067 31898980 32218923 32268857 32268711 32168681
31958668 31688672 31578694 31168782 30768868 30578947
30609048 30749082 31109067
