Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Wednesday or Wednesday night.
...Discussion...
Stable and/or dry conditions will preclude lightning-producing
convection across much of the CONUS. One exception is along coastal
OR/northern CA on Wednesday night into early morning Thursday.
Instability should initially be negligible within the low-level warm
conveyor preceding a broad upper trough over the northeast Pacific.
As the trough approaches the West Coast late, steepening of
mid-level lapse rates may be sufficient for scant buoyancy within an
onshore flow regime, yielding an isolated thunderstorm risk.
..Grams.. 11/10/2025