Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1231 AM CST Wed Nov 05 2025
Valid 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday or Thursday night.
...Discussion...
A progressive pattern with multiple embedded shortwave troughs will
be present across the Northwest to North-Central States on Thursday.
A pocket of cooler mid-level temperatures associated with one trough
may aid in very isolated thunderstorms across parts of the northern
Rockies. Farther west, a shortwave impulse should reach the WA coast
by late afternoon. This will support steepened lower-level lapse
rates and scant surface-based buoyancy within an onshore flow
regime. A few low-topped thunderstorms are possible in western WA,
which might contain small hail and locally strong gusts amid
moderate effective bulk shear.
Amplification of the broader flow regime in the North-Central States
on Thursday night will aid in a strengthening low-level warm
conveyor. Meager elevated buoyancy should develop from the Lower
MO/Mid-MS Valleys northeastward in the Midwest. General
thunderstorms are possible overnight into early morning Friday.
..Grams.. 11/05/2025