SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe potential is low Tuesday. ...Synopsis... On Tuesday, an intense speed max will dive into the Plains, with a deepening upper low moving from the central Plains at 00Z into the lower MS Valley into Wednesday morning. At the surface, a cold front will surge southward across the Plains, nearing the TX Coast by 00Z. Southerly winds ahead of this front will briefly result in a moist and unstable air mass over parts of eastern TX during the day. However, forecast boundary layer moisture profiles will be shallow over much of the warm sector, except perhaps during the afternoon across southeast TX. As such, the greatest chance of thunderstorms will be during the late afternoon toward the TX Coast, prior to the front moving offshore. Forecast soundings indicate generally poor midlevel lapse rates, and substantial dry air aloft, which may temper storm severity. Otherwise, elevated instability may develop across parts of LA, AR, and MS, with scattered non-severe thunderstorms possible. Elsewhere, elevated instability may remain over eastern NC as a weakening upper wave moves over the area, with moist easterly winds wrapping moisture westward north of an offshore surface low. ..Jewell.. 10/26/2025
