SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1233 AM CDT Sun Oct 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The threat for organized severe storms currently appears low on Monday. ...Synopsis... A midlevel trough will migrate east over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity. Any strong southwesterly mid/upper flow associated with this system will generally lag behind a surface cold front extending from Lower MI southwestward into central KS at midday. The front will slowly develop southeast through the period, becoming oriented from southern Lower MI into the southern High Plains. While a mid 50s to low 60s F dewpoints will be in place ahead of the front, destabilization will be limited by poor lapse rates, cloud cover and areas of ongoing convection. While some thunderstorm development is possible along the front during the afternoon, this activity will likely remain to the cool side of the boundary given boundary-parallel deep layer flow and limited large-scale ascent/surface cyclogenesis. Additional thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest to the South in east/southeasterly return flow/warm advection regime on the western periphery of the subtropical high centered near FL. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 10/05/2025
