MD 0123 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 15… FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 0123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0534 PM CST Sun Mar 02 2025
Areas affected...portions of western OK
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15...
Valid 022334Z - 030030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe potential has rapidly diminished late this
afternoon across western Oklahoma. A new watch downstream from
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15 is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Convection has continued to weaken with north and east
extent across southwest/western OK this afternoon. As thunderstorm
continue to shift northeast toward central OK, low-level moisture
will rapidly decrease in tandem with weakening midlevel lapse rates.
Together this will result in meager elevated instability
insufficient for maintaining deep updrafts supporting severe
convection. As such, a downstream watch is not expected and WW 15
will either be cancelled early or allowed to expire as scheduled at
7pm CST.
..Leitman.. 03/02/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 35869900 35899823 35429774 34919794 34749832 34729871
34879918 35439931 35869900
