MD 0339 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST INDIANA INTO FAR SOUTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 0339
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024
Areas affected…portions of southeast Indiana into far southwest
Ohio and northern Kentucky
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 020810Z – 020945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent
SUMMARY…Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible through early
morning. Strong gusts and marginally severe hail to 1 inch diameter
may accompany this activity.
DISCUSSION…Strong thunderstorms near and north of the effective
warm front draped across south-central IN will continue to shift
east the next few hours. This activity is likely elevated given
strong low-level inhibition and storms tracking just to the cool
side of the surface boundary. However, strong vertical shear will
continue to allow for organized storm structures within a modestly
unstable airmass. Locally strong/damaging gusts and sporadic hail
from 0.5 to 1.0 inches in diameter are possible with this activity.
A watch is not currently expected with this ongoing activity, but
one may be needed later this morning as upstream activity over
southern IL spreads into a destabilizing airmass.
..Leitman/Smith.. 04/02/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…ILN…LMK…IND…
LAT…LON 38708441 38708537 38668650 38718697 38888701 39378678
39518617 39418493 39248441 39138428 38808421 38708441
