MD 0414 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 101…102… FOR FAR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA…SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1101 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024
Areas affected…far southeast Louisiana…southeast
Mississippi…southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle
Concerning…Tornado Watch 101…102…
Valid 101601Z – 101730Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 101, 102 continues.
SUMMARY…A swath of damaging wind with gusts to 70 mph is possible
across southeast Mississippi into far southwest Alabama and the
western Florida Panhandle over the next couple of hours. A couple of
tornadoes also remain possible.
DISCUSSION…The line of convection over southeast MS and far
southeast LA will continue to develop east at around 60 mph. A swath
of damaging gusts will continue. The corridor of greatest risk over
the next couple of hours will be focused closer to the coast across
southeast MS into southwest AL where better low-level moisture and
instability are noted. This area will also align with more favorable
effective SRH greater than 300 m2/s2 and STP values around 1-2.
Furthermore, the MOB VWP indicated an enlarged, and favorably curved
low-level hodograph. This environment will support tornado
potential, either via line embedded mesovortex generation or cell
mergers into the line, as has been observed via radar over the past
30-60 minutes across southeast LA.
..Leitman.. 04/10/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…BMX…MOB…JAN…LIX…
LAT…LON 31538967 32078964 32318942 32478833 32348759 31938694
31358677 30458661 30118672 29828719 29558851 29368937
29428990 29719019 30648980 30808970 31538967
