MD 0632 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA…NORTHERN ARKANSAS…AND SOUTHERN-EAST-CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0632
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024
Areas affected…eastern Oklahoma…northern Arkansas…and
southern-east-central Missouri
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 042053Z – 042230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent
SUMMARY…Scattered strong thunderstorms are possible this afternoon
and evening from eastern Oklahoma across northern Arkansas and into
Misosuri.
DISCUSSION…Scattered thunderstorms have developed along and ahead
of a cold front from eastern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas and
into Missouri. The airmass ahead of this cold front is moderately
unstable with MLCAPE around 1500 to 2000 J/kg. Effective shear is
relatively weak (
Read more
