MD 0690 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 198…199… FOR OHIO VALLEY
Mesoscale Discussion 0690
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0126 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024
Areas affected…Ohio Valley
Concerning…Tornado Watch 198…199…
Valid 080626Z – 080830Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 198, 199 continues.
SUMMARY…A tornado, wind-damage and hail threat will likely
continue for several more hours across the Ohio Valley. Additional
weather watch issuance appears likely.
DISCUSSION…The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a multi-segmented
line of strong to severe storms located near the Ohio River from
southeast Missouri east-northeastward into southwestern
Pennsylvania. The RAP shows the strongest instability from southeast
Missouri to central Kentucky, where MLCAPE is estimated to be in the
2000 to 3500 J/kg range. Along this corridor, regional WSR-88D VWPs
and RAP forecast soundings have 0-6 km in the 45 to 55 knot range,
suggesting the supercells and bowing line segments will be possible
tonight. 0-3 km storm-relative helicities near 300 m2/s2 suggests
that an isolated tornado threat may accompany the strongest of
supercells. However, the greater threat should be for wind damage
associated with the more intense line segments. The threats are
expected to persist through much of the night, but should become
somewhat more isolated with time.
..Broyles.. 05/08/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…CTP…PBZ…RLX…JKL…ILN…LMK…PAH…
LAT…LON 39947934 39368008 38688167 38318339 37818543 37268759
36788949 36759012 36859022 37049029 37229015 37398961
37808837 38648507 39208255 40088047 40578002 40517933
39947934
